New investment strategies for an age of uncertainty

We work with global asset managers to stay ahead of huge disruptions from technology – the crashed companies, the seismic risks, the technologies that will redefine our lives and lifestyles.

We reduce the noise around technology to a series of violent trends that will affect every global asset manager over the next few years.

We work with global asset managers to stay ahead of huge disruptions from technology – the crashed markets, the seismic risks, the technologies that will redefine our lives and lifestyles.

We reduce the noise around technology to a series of violent trends that will affect every global asset manager over the next few years.

1. We Help You Identify Toxic Investments in Your Portfolio

• INDUSTRIAL RESET: 40% of semiconductor companies have been wiped out in the last couple of years and we expect seismic shifts for several other legacy industries that have substituted debt for innovation over the last three decades. Find out whether you are currently holding any positions on our watch list.

• TOXIC PROFILE: Do you own companies that fit this profile: heavy on debt, bureaucratic, vulnerable to platform adjacency? We give you full ongoing risk assessment.

2. Pinpoint Which Companies Are Best Positioned to Thrive

• WATCHLIST OF 15 SMALL AND MID-CAPS: Find out which companies are best positioned to thrive as we build a new economy of sensors, oscillators, robots and artificial intelligence. 

TECH SHOCK: In the last year, we have alerted clients to China’s plans to crash two strategic industries. We have also positioned clients for step changes that will result from advances in photonics, “life code” and neuromorphic chips.

3. Alert You to Imminent Risks to Your Portfolio (Over the Next 12 – 24 Months)

• CREDIT MELTDOWNS: A quarter of outstanding global corporate debt (as much as $3.4 trillion) is linked to utility and auto-industry bonds that rely on fossil fuel activities. We look at many scenarios which present an imminent risk to your portfolio.

SYSTEMIC EVENTS: We are deeply concerned about the prospect of a Lehman’s scale cyber event, where an attack on a critical part of the digital infrastructure leads to widespread blackouts and internet outages in the US, with devastating economic consequences. We’ll show you which industries are exposed to this.

We prepare you for this new economy: the companies that will thrive, the companies that will disappear, shocks, the new risks, the new investment methods, the new industries that will spring up from nowhere

We believe the next decade will be dominated by a struggle for control between two competing and deeply flawed ideologies (see table).

This scene is a troubling one for professional investors.

It’s an age of structural uncertainty with a growing dominance of mathematical algorithms and autonomous systems that are only partially understood.

We focus a great deal on emerging ideologies and how the chaotic system of sensors, chips, oscillators, drones, bit barns and satellites is evolving: what it needs, how it works, what aspects of economic activity it is displacing.

And we have found that one of the most fruitful things we do with new clients is lead a small group brainstorming session on site — a good way to discover the key challenges that you and your team are facing.

Latest Briefings

Apple and the Birth of Ambient Intelligence

A few snippets of news that are worth your attention this week… The unveiling of the A12 bionic chipset in the new XS iPhones and the sensor behind the electrocardiogram in the new Watch were for us the real news at last week's event. 1. The A12 can run 5 trillion ops...

read more

A Chronic Shortage of Bandwidth

Remember the dial-up internet and the finger tapping timpani it yielded? Well, maybe a new era of the ‘world wide wait’ looms. Global internet traffic is growing by at least 25% a year — far outstripping the current growth in bandwidth with mobile traffic growing at...

read more

That Voice in Your Head

An experiment. Hold out your right arm and then slowly flex your wrist. Which comes first – the thought to flex your wrist, or the action itself? In the 1980s, an experiment by the neurologist Benjamin Libet raised some disturbing questions about the extent to which...

read more

Book Your Free, Informal Consultation

We’ll discuss how we can help you to:

  • Identify any toxic investments that currently exist in your portfolio
  • Pinpoint those companies best positioned to thrive in the current climate
  • Flag up imminent potential risks in the short to mid-term (12 – 24 months)